Residential Real Estate Investment Performance Evaluation in an Emerging Economy: A Look at North-Central Nigeria’s Real Estate Submarket
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Date
2023-06-01
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Tropical Journal of the Built Environment (TJOBE)
Abstract
Abstract
This study analysed the performances of residential real estate investment in Minna property
submarket of north-central Nigeria with a view to guiding real estate investors in decision making. The study adopted a survey research design to collect residential property transaction
data and information from estate surveying and valuation firms as well as reputable estate
agent offices in the study area. Index number, holding period return, modified value-at-risk
and modified Sharpe ratio models were adopted for data analysis. The study found a
progressive movement in rental and capital values of residential real estate in the study area
within the study period (2007-2021). Residential real estate also showed positive performance
in terms of total and risk-adjusted returns within the study period. The average combined mean
total return on residential real estate investment across property categories and
neighbourhoods in Minna metropolis for the period averaged 11.47% per annum. Investing in
residential real estate investment in the study area was found worthwhile because there was a
progressive growth in both rental and capital values. Returns on investment equally indicated
positive performance when compared with risk-free investment asset in Nigeria. Thus,
investors could include residential apartment in their investment portfolio for purpose of
diversification. Study in this topic is conspicuously absent in Minna metropolis of north central Nigeria and this is the first known study to adopt the Cornish Fisher modified value at-risk and modified Sharpe ratio in analyzing real estate investment returns performance in
Nigeria.
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June 2023