DETERMINATS OF EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA
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Date
2018
Authors
ADEYEMI, Kenneth Sola
ABDULMUMIN, Biliqees Ayoola
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Publisher
Department of Business Administration, University of Ilorin, Ilorin. Nigeria.
Abstract
An economic recession occurs when the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of an economy drops for two consecutive quarters. Despite the plausible effect of economic recession on the economy, the determinants of exchange rate volatility and economic growth taking cognizance of the period of recession remain an open question. Against this background, this study examines the determinants of exchange rate volatility and economic growth in Nigeria from 1984 to 2016. This study further investigates the trend of GDP and exchange rate volatility. This study employs secondary data from Central Bank Statistical Bulletin and World Bank Development Indicators. Data obtained were analyzed using Error Correction
Mechanism (ECM). The findings show that money supply, trade openness, total government expenditure and effect of the recession (dummy) have significant effect on exchange rate volatility and GDP in Nigeria. This study concludes that there is high propensity to achieve a better level of economic development if the economy is prevented from going into recession. This study recommends that the economy should be well diversified in order to increase GDP to prevent the economic recession.
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Keywords
Exchange rate, exchange rate volatility, GDP, recession